TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Vacherot vs M. Navone (Montreal on 2026-08-06) — the market is efficient, with V. Vacherot favoured at 1.62.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Vacherot | M. Navone |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
71.3% | 28.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
44.9% | 55.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
78.7% | 21.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
71.3% | 28.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
56.7% | 43.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Vacherot | clay | 1749 | 111–62 | 173 |
| M. Navone | clay | 1815 | 195–108 | 303 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 22, 2026.
V. Vacherot leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 21, 2026 | Miami | hard | V. Vacherot | 2 - 0 |
| L | Q. Halys | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| L | R. Collignon | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | Y. Hanfmann | 1 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | T. Faurel | 1 - 3 | May 26, 2026 |
| L | E. Nava | 2 - 1 | April 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Berrettini | 1 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | Q. Halys | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | J-L. Struff | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | A. Muller | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | S. Travaglia | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
All Aug. 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used