TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Sachko vs S. Mochizuki (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with S. Mochizuki favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Sachko | S. Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
13.3% | 86.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
30.4% | 69.6% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
13.3% | 86.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
29.0% | 71.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Sachko | clay | 1629 | 124–99 | 223 |
| S. Mochizuki | hard | 1558 | 118–110 | 228 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
S. Mochizuki leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | S. Mochizuki | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Giustino | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | J. Rodionov | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | F. Coria | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | T. Skatov | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
| W | M. Dhamne | 0 - 2 | July 11, 2026 |
| W | D. Sweeny | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | H. Matsuoka | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | C. Broom | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | L. Draxl | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | J. Monday | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used