TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Kopriva vs J. Choinski (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29) — the market is efficient, with V. Kopriva favoured at 1.57.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Kopriva | J. Choinski |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.3% | 45.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
53.3% | 46.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
23.0% | 77.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
48.2% | 51.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
60.2% | 39.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Kopriva | clay | 1729 | 139–96 | 235 |
| J. Choinski | clay | 1806 | 151–83 | 234 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 20, 2026.
J. Choinski leads 3–1 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | J. Choinski | 3 - 0 |
| Sept. 21, 2025 | Bad Waltersdorf | clay | J. Choinski | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 3, 2024 | Tulln Challenger Men | clay | J. Choinski | 2 - 1 |
| Sept. 12, 2023 | Szczecin Challenger Men | clay | V. Kopriva | 2 - 0 |
| W | A. Galarneau | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | I. Buse | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | D. Prizmic | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Choinski | 0 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | E. Quinn | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | J. Mackenzie | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | F. A. Gomez | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | O. Wallin | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Barrena | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | F. Passaro | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used