TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Kopriva vs I. Buse (Mallorca on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with I. Buse favoured at 1.70.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Kopriva | I. Buse |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.9% | 51.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
68.7% | 31.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.9% | 45.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
44.2% | 55.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Kopriva | clay | 1729 | 139–96 | 235 |
| I. Buse | clay | 1814 | 133–81 | 214 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 20, 2026.
V. Kopriva leads 3–2 over 5 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 20, 2026 | Kitzbuhel | clay | I. Buse | 2 - 1 |
| June 24, 2026 | Mallorca | grass | V. Kopriva | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 3, 2024 | Braga Challenger Men | clay | V. Kopriva | 2 - 1 |
| July 20, 2024 | ATP Kitzbuhel | clay | V. Kopriva | 2 - 1 |
| July 11, 2024 | Salzburg | hard | I. Buse | 2 - 1 |
| W | A. Galarneau | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | I. Buse | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | D. Prizmic | 0 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | J. Choinski | 0 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | E. Quinn | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | T. M. Etcheverry | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | K. Feldbausch | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | V. Kopriva | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | S. Tsitsipas | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | J. Brooksby | 3 - 0 | July 1, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used