TennisEdge's AI bot is backing H. Wendelken (moneyline) at 2.08 in V. Gaubas vs H. Wendelken (US Open on 2026-08-27). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Gaubas | H. Wendelken |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.8% | 55.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
35.5% | 64.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
13.1% | 86.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
36.6% | 63.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.9% | 49.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Gaubas | hard | 1421 | 13–24 | 37 |
| H. Wendelken | hard | 1690 | 151–107 | 258 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 28, 2026.
H. Wendelken leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 28, 2026 | US Open | hard | H. Wendelken | 2 - 1 |
| L | P. Lagutin | 1 - 2 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | H. Wendelken | 1 - 2 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | M. Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | K. Feldbausch | 2 - 0 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | M. Houkes | 2 - 1 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | L. Darderi | 3 - 1 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| W | V. Gaubas | 1 - 2 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | R. Bertola | 1 - 2 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | S. Travaglia | 2 - 1 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | L. Harris | 2 - 1 | Aug. 14, 2026 |
All Aug. 27, 2026 results & picks →