TennisEdge's AI bot is backing H. Wendelken (moneyline) at 2.08 in V. Gaubas vs H. Wendelken (US Open on 2026-08-27). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Gaubas | H. Wendelken |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.8% | 55.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
35.5% | 64.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
13.1% | 86.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
36.6% | 63.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.9% | 49.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Gaubas | hard | 1421 | 13–24 | 37 |
| H. Wendelken | hard | 1604 | 152–113 | 265 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 28, 2026.
H. Wendelken leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 28, 2026 | US Open | hard | H. Wendelken | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. Cecchinato | 2 - 0 | Oct. 19, 2026 |
| L | T. Boyer | 2 - 1 | Oct. 15, 2026 |
| W | K. Coppejans | 0 - 2 | Oct. 13, 2026 |
| L | E. Moller | 2 - 1 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| W | L. Mikrut | 2 - 0 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
| L | A. Shelbayh | 2 - 0 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| L | A. Andrade | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | D. Milavsky | 2 - 1 | Oct. 26, 2026 |
| L | G. Onclin | 1 - 2 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | J. J. Schwaerzler | 2 - 0 | Oct. 1, 2026 |
All Aug. 27, 2026 results & picks →