TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in V. Gaubas vs D. Lajovic (Wimbledon on 2026-06-25) — the market is efficient, with D. Lajovic favoured at 1.81.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | V. Gaubas | D. Lajovic |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.7% | 46.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
24.1% | 75.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.7% | 46.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
47.9% | 52.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Gaubas | clay | 1658 | 158–102 | 260 |
| D. Lajovic | clay | 1639 | 99–80 | 179 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 1, 2026.
V. Gaubas leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | V. Gaubas | 3 - 2 |
| L | F. Diaz Acosta | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | T. Monteiro | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | G. A. Olivieri | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | L. Pavlovic | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | P. Carreno-Busta | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | C. Hewitt | 0 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | L. van Assche | 1 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | T. Fritz | 3 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | V. Gaubas | 3 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | C. Rodesch | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used