TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in U. Humbert vs J. Brooksby (Eastbourne on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with U. Humbert favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | U. Humbert | J. Brooksby |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
57.1% | 42.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
64.9% | 35.1% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
47.0% | 53.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
59.1% | 40.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
65.6% | 34.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| U. Humbert | hard | 1831 | 131–80 | 211 |
| J. Brooksby | hard | 1729 | 86–55 | 141 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
Level at 2–2 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | U. Humbert | 2 - 0 |
| Sept. 25, 2025 | Tokyo | hard | J. Brooksby | 2 - 0 |
| June 27, 2025 | Eastbourne | grass | J. Brooksby | 2 - 1 |
| Oct. 26, 2022 | Basel | hard | U. Humbert | 2 - 0 |
| L | B. Shelton | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Martin | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | Z. Bergs | 2 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | Z. Bergs | 2 - 1 | June 28, 2026 |
| W | J. Draper | 0 - 2 | June 26, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used