TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Skatov vs A. Barrena (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with T. Skatov favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Skatov | A. Barrena |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.1% | 50.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.0% | 40.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.0% | 39.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
75.0% | 25.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Skatov | clay | 1615 | 158–126 | 284 |
| A. Barrena | clay | 1565 | 160–127 | 287 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 3, 2026 | Hagen | clay | A. Barrena | 2 - 0 |
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | T. Skatov | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Barrena | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | J. P. Varillas | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | O. Virtanen | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | T. Faurel | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | A. Rublev | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | T. Skatov | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | J. Choinski | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Nikles | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | N. Visker | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Napolitano | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used