TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Samuel vs T. A. Tirante (Eastbourne on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with T. Samuel favoured at 1.53.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Samuel | T. A. Tirante |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.0% | 47.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
57.6% | 42.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
57.5% | 42.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
62.0% | 38.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Samuel | hard | 1840 | 101–32 | 133 |
| T. A. Tirante | clay | 1806 | 156–120 | 276 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 29, 2026.
T. Samuel leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | T. Samuel | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. D. Hara Friend | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | J. Pinnington Jones | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | L. Draxl | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | C. Broom | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | Y. H. Hsu | 0 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| L | A. Tabilo | Walk Over | July 17, 2026 |
| W | N. Basilashvili | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | S. Ofner | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | F. Marozsan | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Samuel | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used