TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah vs L. Zhu (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with L. Zhu favoured at 1.31.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah | L. Zhu |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
50.9% | 49.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.5% | 61.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.7% | 55.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
27.5% | 72.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah | clay | 1528 | 76–49 | 125 |
| L. Zhu | hard | 1663 | 148–93 | 241 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 19, 2026.
L. Zhu leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | L. Zhu | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Zhu | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Y. Lee | 2 - 1 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | M. Sherif | 0 - 2 | June 19, 2026 |
| W | M. Ristic | 2 - 1 | June 17, 2026 |
| W | Y. Lizarazo | 2 - 0 | June 15, 2026 |
| L | L. Jeanjean | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | T. Kostovic | 2 - 0 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | M. Barthel | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | K. Siniakova | 2 - 0 | June 15, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
The mathematical models identify significant value on T. Rakotomanga Rajaonah (11.7% edge), largely driven by an ELO rating that views the match as a coin flip. However, qualitative factors strongly contradict this assessment. Rajaonah is at a massive structural disadvantage, having played a 3-set match on clay just 4 days ago before switching to grass yesterday, resulting in 6 hours of court time in the last two weeks. Conversely, L. Zhu is a confirmed 'Strong Specialist' on grass with deep recent runs on the surface and significantly less fatigue. The model fails to account for the difficulty of the clay-to-grass transition and the specialist vs. non-specialist matchup. We recommend passing despite the mathematical value.