TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Prozorova vs H. Watson (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with T. Prozorova favoured at 1.62.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Prozorova | H. Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
54.9% | 45.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
56.3% | 43.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
56.2% | 43.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.6% | 42.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Prozorova | hard | 1728 | 119–58 | 177 |
| H. Watson | hard | 1586 | 117–80 | 197 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
H. Watson leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | H. Watson | 2 - 1 |
| L | P. Stearns | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Sierra | 1 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| W | K. Drenser-Hagmann | 2 - 1 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Zakharova | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | D. Khomutsianskaya | 0 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | A. Blinkova | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | J. Pareja | 1 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | K. Rakhimova | 0 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | M. Timofeeva | 2 - 1 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | T. Prozorova | 1 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used