TennisEdge's AI bot is backing T. Maria (moneyline) in T. Maria vs M. Keys (Eastbourne on 2026-06-27).
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Maria | M. Keys |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.0% | 56.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
35.4% | 64.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
58.6% | 41.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
46.0% | 54.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
23.8% | 76.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 12, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 27, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | M. Keys | 2 - 0 |
| June 14, 2025 | London | grass | T. Maria | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Tubello | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | L. Giovannini | 2 - 1 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | B. Andreescu | 1 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | F. Ferro | 2 - 1 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | V. Strakhova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
All June 27, 2026 results & picks →