TennisEdge's AI bot is backing F. Ferro (moneyline) at 2.10 in T. Maria vs F. Ferro (Queretaro on 2026-11-01). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Maria | F. Ferro |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
46.3% | 53.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
41.3% | 58.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
46.1% | 53.9% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.6% | 55.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
52.7% | 47.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 11, 2026.
T. Maria leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov. 1, 2026 | Queretaro | clay | T. Maria | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 20, 2023 | Barranquilla Challenger Women | hard | T. Maria | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Tubello | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | L. Giovannini | 2 - 1 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | B. Andreescu | 1 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | F. Ferro | 2 - 1 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | V. Strakhova | 2 - 0 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| L | T. Maria | 2 - 1 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Mandlik | 2 - 1 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | A. Reami | 2 - 0 | Oct. 29, 2026 |
| W | S. Johnson | 2 - 1 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 0 | Oct. 16, 2026 |
All Nov. 1, 2026 results & picks →