TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. Boyer vs A. Pellegrino (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with T. Boyer favoured at 1.36.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. Boyer | A. Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
51.0% | 49.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
63.2% | 36.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.9% | 39.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
68.8% | 31.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Boyer | clay | 1657 | 61–48 | 109 |
| A. Pellegrino | clay | 1724 | 175–135 | 310 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 13, 2026.
T. Boyer leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | T. Boyer | 2 - 0 |
| June 17, 2024 | Sassuolo Challenger Men | clay | T. Boyer | 2 - 0 |
| L | F. Cerundolo | 0 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | G. Diallo | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | B. Tomic | Walk Over | July 27, 2026 |
| W | L. Claverie | 2 - 0 | July 26, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
| L | T. Monteiro | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | C. A. Caniato | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | G. Bueno | 1 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | J. D. Silva | 2 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | A. Rublev | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used