TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in T. A. Tirante vs J. Fearnley (Eastbourne on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with J. Fearnley favoured at 1.61.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | T. A. Tirante | J. Fearnley |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
19.3% | 80.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
26.0% | 74.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
28.4% | 71.6% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
41.2% | 58.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. A. Tirante | clay | 1806 | 156–120 | 276 |
| J. Fearnley | hard | 1713 | 72–38 | 110 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 17, 2026.
| L | A. Tabilo | Walk Over | July 17, 2026 |
| W | N. Basilashvili | 1 - 2 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | S. Ofner | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | F. Marozsan | 0 - 3 | June 29, 2026 |
| L | T. Samuel | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | S. Ofner | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | A. Michelsen | 2 - 0 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | M. Zheng | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | J. Wolf | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | T. Boyer | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used