TennisEdge's AI bot is backing H. Sakatsume (moneyline) at 1.91 in S. Waltert vs H. Sakatsume (Samsun on 2026-10-09). Result: WON.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Waltert | H. Sakatsume |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.2% | 46.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
33.1% | 66.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
71.5% | 28.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
52.6% | 47.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
53.8% | 46.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Waltert | hard | 1579 | 84–70 | 154 |
| H. Sakatsume | hard | 1649 | 173–109 | 282 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 5, 2026.
H. Sakatsume leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 9, 2026 | Samsun | hard | H. Sakatsume | 2 - 1 |
| March 1, 2026 | WTA Indian Wells | hard | H. Sakatsume | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Stefanini | 0 - 2 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | S. Yamalapalli | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | J. Teichmann | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Kalinina | 2 - 1 | Oct. 17, 2026 |
| L | H. Sakatsume | 1 - 2 | Oct. 9, 2026 |
| L | Z. Bai | 1 - 2 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | Huang Yujia | 2 - 1 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | A. Subasic | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| W | E. Pridankina | 2 - 1 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
All Oct. 9, 2026 results & picks →