S. Tsitsipas vs R. Collignon — Prediction & Analysis

Gstaad · ATP Gstaad - Final · July 19, 2026 · 11:30 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing R. Collignon (moneyline) at 2.10 in S. Tsitsipas vs R. Collignon (Gstaad on 2026-07-19). Result: LOST.

Surface clay Odds S. Tsitsipas 1.72 · R. Collignon 2.10

Bot bet

R. Collignon (moneyline) @ 2.10 · 1.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: S. Tsitsipas · R. Collignon · head-to-head record · Gstaad

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method S. Tsitsipas R. Collignon
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
48.1% 51.9%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
38.9% 61.1%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
27.6% 72.4%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
42.9% 57.1%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
55.0% 45.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
S. Tsitsipas clay1873 74–29103
R. Collignon clay1829 136–49185

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 19, 2026.

Head to head

S. Tsitsipas leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 19, 2026GstaadclayS. Tsitsipas2 - 1

Recent form

S. Tsitsipas

L B. Shelton 3 - 0 Sept. 6, 2026
W J. Lehecka 1 - 3 Sept. 4, 2026
W L. Harris 1 - 3 Sept. 2, 2026
W A. Fils 3 - 1 Aug. 31, 2026
L A. Kovacevic 2 - 0 Aug. 26, 2026

R. Collignon

L S. Gorzny 3 - 2 Aug. 31, 2026
L R. Hijikata 1 - 2 Aug. 25, 2026
L M. Navone 2 - 0 Aug. 13, 2026
L A. Popyrin 0 - 2 Aug. 5, 2026
L D. Altmaier 2 - 0 July 21, 2026

All July 19, 2026 results & picks →

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