TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Travaglia vs L. Mikrut (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with S. Travaglia favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Travaglia | L. Mikrut |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
40.6% | 59.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
57.7% | 42.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.6% | 46.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
62.5% | 37.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Travaglia | clay | 1612 | 128–103 | 231 |
| L. Mikrut | clay | 1775 | 123–63 | 186 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 28, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | S. Travaglia | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 3, 2023 | Lisbon Challenger Men | clay | L. Mikrut | 2 - 1 |
| L | M. H. Rehberg | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | D. Vallejo | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | M. Navone | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | M. Krumich | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | E. Dalla Valle | 2 - 0 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | S. Travaglia | 2 - 0 | June 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Dedura | 0 - 2 | June 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Moeller | 2 - 1 | June 5, 2026 |
| W | J. Choinski | 0 - 2 | June 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Marti Pujolras | 2 - 0 | June 2, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used