TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Sorribes Tormo vs M. Timofeeva (Makarska on 2026-06-06) — the market is efficient, with S. Sorribes Tormo favoured at 1.83.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Sorribes Tormo | M. Timofeeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
55.7% | 44.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
67.5% | 32.6% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.4% | 59.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
54.5% | 45.5% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
50.0% | 50.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Sorribes Tormo | hard | 1519 | 62–59 | 121 |
| M. Timofeeva | hard | 1616 | 92–61 | 153 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Feb. 17, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 6, 2026 | Makarska | clay | M. Timofeeva | 2 - 0 |
| April 2, 2024 | WTA Bogota | clay | S. Sorribes Tormo | 2 - 0 |
| L | L. Bronzetti | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | C. W. Hennemann | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | L. Romero Gormaz | 1 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | A. Charaeva | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Bondar | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | S. Bejlek | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Sasnovich | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | A. Li | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | E. Mertens | 2 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | B. Haddad Maia | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
All June 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used