TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in E. Avanesyan vs D. Semenistaja (Makarska on 2026-06-06) — the market is efficient, with D. Semenistaja favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | E. Avanesyan | D. Semenistaja |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
32.9% | 67.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
19.2% | 80.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
52.2% | 47.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
34.8% | 65.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
48.6% | 51.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Avanesyan | clay | 1724 | 112–63 | 175 |
| D. Semenistaja | clay | 1653 | 148–83 | 231 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 25, 2026.
D. Semenistaja leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 6, 2026 | Makarska | clay | D. Semenistaja | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Bondar | 1 - 2 | July 25, 2026 |
| W | O. Oliynykova | Walk Over | July 24, 2026 |
| W | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 1 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Rus | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| W | V. Lepchenko | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | M. Ristic | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | S. Kraus | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | J. Riera | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | L. Romero Gormaz | 2 - 1 | July 6, 2026 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 2 - 1 | June 29, 2026 |
All June 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used