TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Napolitano vs B. Harris (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with B. Harris favoured at 1.20.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Napolitano | B. Harris |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
33.9% | 66.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
27.0% | 73.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
27.7% | 72.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
21.7% | 78.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Napolitano | clay | 1616 | 94–68 | 162 |
| B. Harris | hard | 1556 | 157–115 | 272 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 27, 2026.
B. Harris leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | B. Harris | 2 - 0 |
| Oct. 24, 2023 | Ortisei Challenger Men | hard | B. Harris | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Muller | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | Z. Piros | 1 - 0 | July 20, 2026 |
| L | G. Villanueva | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Barrena | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| W | F. Balshaw | 2 - 1 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | A. Shelbayh | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | D. Suresh | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | K. Khachanov | 3 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | Y. Zhou | 1 - 3 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | Z. Piros | 0 - 2 | June 24, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used