S. Lansere vs S. Costoulas — Prediction & Analysis

Jingshan · Jingshan - 1/8-finals · Oct. 1, 2026 · 02:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Lansere +5.0 (game handicap) at 1.74 in S. Lansere vs S. Costoulas (Jingshan on 2026-10-01). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds S. Lansere 3.50 · S. Costoulas 1.28

Bot bet

S. Lansere +5.0 (game handicap) @ 1.74 · 0.5u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: S. Lansere · S. Costoulas · head-to-head record · Jingshan

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method S. Lansere S. Costoulas
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
44.3% 55.7%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
33.6% 66.4%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
15.2% 84.8%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
31.0% 69.0%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
26.8% 73.2%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
S. Lansere hard1604 95–80175
S. Costoulas hard1523 137–86223

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 8, 2026.

Head to head

S. Lansere leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 1, 2026JingshanhardS. Lansere2 - 0

Recent form

S. Lansere

W A. Blinkova 1 - 2 Nov. 8, 2026
W N. Noha Akugue 2 - 0 Nov. 7, 2026
W M. Kubka 2 - 0 Nov. 6, 2026
W K. Novak 2 - 0 Nov. 4, 2026
W A. Okutoyi 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026

S. Costoulas

L L. Samson 2 - 0 Nov. 11, 2026
W A. Esquivel Useche 2 - 0 Nov. 9, 2026
L M. Bassols 0 - 2 Nov. 3, 2026
L V. Strakhova 2 - 0 Oct. 27, 2026
L D. Astakhova 0 - 1 Oct. 5, 2026

All Oct. 1, 2026 results & picks →

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