TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Kwon vs A. Gea (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with A. Gea favoured at 1.81.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Kwon | A. Gea |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
39.0% | 61.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.5% | 39.5% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
39.0% | 61.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
47.3% | 52.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 29, 2026 | Los Cabos | hard | A. Gea | 2 - 1 |
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | S. Kwon | 2 - 1 |
| W | A. Kim | 2 - 1 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | G. Young | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| L | A. Gea | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | E. Winter | 2 - 0 | July 27, 2026 |
| W | A. F. Rubio Fierros | 2 - 0 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | D. Shapovalov | 2 - 0 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | C. Wong | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | F. Cerundolo | 1 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | M. Zheng | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Kwon | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used