S. Kraus vs S. Kenin — Prediction & Analysis

Osaka · WTA Osaka - Final · Oct. 18, 2026 · 04:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing S. Kraus (moneyline) at 2.13 in S. Kraus vs S. Kenin (Osaka on 2026-10-18). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds S. Kraus 1.84 · S. Kenin 1.73

Bot bet

S. Kraus (moneyline) @ 2.13 · 2.0u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: S. Kraus · S. Kenin · head-to-head record · Osaka

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method S. Kraus S. Kenin
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
63.1% 36.9%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
69.7% 30.3%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
72.3% 27.7%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
68.3% 31.7%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
48.5% 51.5%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
S. Kraus hard1707 56–59115
S. Kenin hard1571 90–95185

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 28, 2026.

Head to head

S. Kraus leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 18, 2026OsakahardS. Kraus2 - 0

Recent form

S. Kraus

L P. Badosa 2 - 0 Oct. 28, 2026
W P. Udvardy 0 - 2 Oct. 26, 2026
L T. Gibson 2 - 0 Oct. 21, 2026
W C. McNally 0 - 1 Oct. 19, 2026
W S. Kenin 2 - 0 Oct. 18, 2026

S. Kenin

L M. Stojsavljevic 2 - 1 Nov. 4, 2026
L K. Quevedo 2 - 1 Oct. 27, 2026
L K. Day 2 - 0 Oct. 20, 2026
L S. Kraus 2 - 0 Oct. 18, 2026
W M. Yamaguchi 1 - 2 Oct. 17, 2026

All Oct. 18, 2026 results & picks →

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