S. Kozlov vs M. Zheng — Prediction & Analysis

Knoxville · Knoxville - Quarter-finals · Nov. 13, 2026 · 23:00 UTC

AI match preview for S. Kozlov vs M. Zheng (Knoxville on 2026-11-13): models, form and the market read. No bot verdict is published for this match yet. M. Zheng is the market favourite at 1.48.

Surface hard Odds S. Kozlov 2.43 · M. Zheng 1.48

No verdict yet

This match has not been through the analyst pass, so there is no bet and no verdict to publish. The models, form and market data below are the inputs it would read.
Profiles: S. Kozlov · M. Zheng · head-to-head record · Knoxville

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method S. Kozlov M. Zheng
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
36.4% 63.6%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
40.5% 59.5%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
61.2% 38.8%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
46.0% 54.0%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
37.9% 62.1%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
S. Kozlov hard1642 125–89214
M. Zheng hard1721 80–43123

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 12, 2026.

Head to head

S. Kozlov leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
July 2, 2024Bloomfield Hills Challenger MenhardS. Kozlov2 - 1
Sept. 24, 2023Charleston Challenger MenhardS. Kozlov2 - 0

Recent form

S. Kozlov

W B. Shick 2 - 0 Nov. 12, 2026
W A. Galarneau 0 - 2 Nov. 10, 2026
W A. Mayo 2 - 1 Nov. 8, 2026
W C. Chidekh 1 - 2 Nov. 7, 2026
W B. Shick 2 - 0 Nov. 6, 2026

M. Zheng

W O. Baris 0 - 2 Nov. 12, 2026
W G. Hussey 1 - 2 Nov. 10, 2026
L J. K. Trotter 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026
L Y. Wu 2 - 0 Oct. 7, 2026
L N. Mejia 0 - 2 Oct. 6, 2026

All Nov. 13, 2026 results & picks →

34 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →