TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Ishii vs K. Cross (Newport on 2026-07-06) — the market is efficient, with K. Cross favoured at 1.61.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Ishii | K. Cross |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
60.8% | 39.2% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
24.8% | 75.2% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
68.0% | 32.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.8% | 39.2% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
42.3% | 57.7% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 31, 2026.
K. Cross leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 8, 2026 | Newport | grass | K. Cross | 2 - 0 |
| L | R. Saigo | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | H. Sato | 2 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | F. Gandolfi | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | H. Klugman | 0 - 2 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | K. Cross | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | K. Boulter | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | H. Dart | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | E. Kalieva | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
| W | W. Osuigwe | 0 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | S. Saito | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
All July 6, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used