TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Polmans (moneyline) at 2.22 in S. Gorzny vs M. Polmans (Winston-Salem on 2026-08-22). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Gorzny | M. Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.0% | 56.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
59.2% | 40.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
31.2% | 68.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.0% | 56.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
51.7% | 48.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gorzny | hard | 1614 | 31–27 | 58 |
| M. Polmans | hard | 1522 | 152–107 | 259 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 13, 2026.
S. Gorzny leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 22, 2026 | Winston-Salem | hard | S. Gorzny | 2 - 1 |
| W | A. Bolt | 2 - 1 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | M. Dellavedova | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | I. Becroft | 2 - 1 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | Dar. Blanch | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | I. Marcondes | 1 - 2 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| L | S. Gorzny | 2 - 1 | Aug. 22, 2026 |
| L | G. Dimitrov | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
| W | J. Mackenzie | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | B. Bonzi | 2 - 0 | June 6, 2026 |
All Aug. 22, 2026 results & picks →