TennisEdge's AI bot is backing M. Polmans (moneyline) at 2.22 in S. Gorzny vs M. Polmans (Winston-Salem on 2026-08-22). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Gorzny | M. Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
44.0% | 56.0% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
59.2% | 40.8% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
31.2% | 68.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
44.0% | 56.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
51.7% | 48.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gorzny | hard | 1490 | 24–24 | 48 |
| M. Polmans | hard | 1522 | 152–107 | 259 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 2, 2026.
S. Gorzny leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 22, 2026 | Winston-Salem | hard | S. Gorzny | 2 - 1 |
| L | D. Medvedev | 3 - 0 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | R. Collignon | 3 - 2 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| L | C. Hewitt | 1 - 2 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | F. Balshaw | 2 - 1 | Aug. 23, 2026 |
| W | M. Polmans | 2 - 1 | Aug. 22, 2026 |
| L | S. Gorzny | 2 - 1 | Aug. 22, 2026 |
| L | G. Dimitrov | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | A. Shelbayh | 0 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
| W | J. Mackenzie | 0 - 2 | June 20, 2026 |
| L | B. Bonzi | 2 - 0 | June 6, 2026 |
All Aug. 22, 2026 results & picks →