AI match preview for S. Gorzny vs A. Holmgren (Brisbane 3 on 2026-11-14): models, form and the market read. No bot verdict is published for this match yet. A. Holmgren is the market favourite at 1.76.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Gorzny | A. Holmgren |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.4% | 51.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.1% | 56.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
50.0% | 50.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
47.2% | 52.8% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
47.7% | 52.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gorzny | hard | 1614 | 31–27 | 58 |
| A. Holmgren | hard | 1623 | 124–80 | 204 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 13, 2026.
| W | A. Bolt | 2 - 1 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | M. Dellavedova | 0 - 2 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | I. Becroft | 2 - 1 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | Dar. Blanch | 0 - 2 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | I. Marcondes | 1 - 2 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| W | B. Tomic | 1 - 2 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | C. O'Connell | 2 - 0 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | P. Sekulic | 2 - 1 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | Y. Shimizu | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | D. Michalski | 0 - 2 | Nov. 2, 2026 |
All Nov. 14, 2026 results & picks →