TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in S. Bandecchi vs V. Podrez (Warsaw on 2026-08-05) — the market is efficient, with V. Podrez favoured at 1.77.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | S. Bandecchi | V. Podrez |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
43.6% | 56.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
43.5% | 56.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
46.7% | 53.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
45.3% | 54.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
46.7% | 53.3% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Bandecchi | hard | 1628 | 96–65 | 161 |
| V. Podrez | hard | 1673 | 62–32 | 94 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 4, 2026.
| W | V. Hruncakova | 0 - 2 | Aug. 4, 2026 |
| L | X. Gao | 0 - 2 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | A. Gasanova | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | H. Shi | 2 - 0 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | C. Buyukakcay | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
| W | E. Micic | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | C. Y. Lee | 1 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
| W | R. Saigo | 2 - 0 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | T. Krejcova | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | A. Voloshchuk | 0 - 2 | July 9, 2026 |
All Aug. 5, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used