TennisEdge's AI bot is backing R. Zarazua (moneyline) at 1.76 in R. Zarazua vs Y. Yuan (Cincinnati on 2026-08-11). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Zarazua | Y. Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
64.1% | 35.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
61.0% | 39.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
64.2% | 35.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.7% | 39.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
55.1% | 44.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Zarazua | hard | 1682 | 122–96 | 218 |
| Y. Yuan | hard | 1533 | 84–88 | 172 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Oct. 31, 2026.
Y. Yuan leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 11, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | Y. Yuan | 2 - 0 |
| April 27, 2023 | ITF W60 Charlottesville, VA Women | clay | R. Zarazua | 2 - 1 |
| April 20, 2023 | ITF W100 Charleston, SC Women | clay | Y. Yuan | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Riera | 2 - 1 | Nov. 5, 2026 |
| W | D. Papamichail | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | K. Scott | 0 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | A. Urhobo | 0 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | X. Gao | 1 - 1 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| L | D. Piatrouski | 2 - 0 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| L | S. Purtseladze | 0 - 2 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| L | K. Kirci | 2 - 0 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
| L | C. McNally | 0 - 2 | Oct. 10, 2026 |
| L | M. Andreeva | 1 - 2 | Oct. 2, 2026 |
All Aug. 11, 2026 results & picks →