R. Sramkova vs R. Zarazua — Prediction & Analysis

Suzhou · Suzhou - Semi-finals · Oct. 10, 2026 · 05:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing R. Zarazua (moneyline) at 1.99 in R. Sramkova vs R. Zarazua (Suzhou on 2026-10-10). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds R. Sramkova 1.70 · R. Zarazua 1.84

Bot bet

R. Zarazua (moneyline) @ 1.99 · 1.0u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: R. Sramkova · R. Zarazua · head-to-head record · Suzhou

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method R. Sramkova R. Zarazua
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
45.8% 54.2%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
40.3% 59.7%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
33.1% 66.9%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
39.7% 60.3%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
52.0% 48.0%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
R. Sramkova hard1685 97–82179
R. Zarazua hard1682 122–96218

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 3, 2026.

Head to head

R. Sramkova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 10, 2026SuzhouhardR. Sramkova2 - 0

Recent form

R. Sramkova

L M. Uchijima 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026
L H. Klugman 0 - 2 Oct. 23, 2026
W N. Basiletti 2 - 0 Oct. 22, 2026
W M. Barthel 2 - 1 Oct. 20, 2026
W K. Okamura 2 - 0 Oct. 11, 2026

R. Zarazua

L J. Riera 2 - 1 Nov. 5, 2026
W D. Papamichail 0 - 2 Nov. 4, 2026
W K. Scott 0 - 2 Nov. 3, 2026
L A. Urhobo 0 - 2 Oct. 31, 2026
W X. Gao 1 - 1 Oct. 30, 2026

All Oct. 10, 2026 results & picks →

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