R. Sramkova vs K. Okamura — Prediction & Analysis

Suzhou · Suzhou - Final · Oct. 11, 2026 · 06:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing K. Okamura (moneyline) at 2.96 in R. Sramkova vs K. Okamura (Suzhou on 2026-10-11). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds R. Sramkova 1.29 · K. Okamura 2.96

Bot bet

K. Okamura (moneyline) @ 2.96 · 0.5u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: R. Sramkova · K. Okamura · head-to-head record · Suzhou

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method R. Sramkova K. Okamura
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
65.3% 34.7%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
60.4% 39.6%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
67.5% 32.5%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
64.4% 35.6%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
69.6% 30.4%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
R. Sramkova hard1685 97–82179
K. Okamura hard1594 166–145311

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 3, 2026.

Head to head

R. Sramkova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 11, 2026SuzhouhardR. Sramkova2 - 0

Recent form

R. Sramkova

L M. Uchijima 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026
L H. Klugman 0 - 2 Oct. 23, 2026
W N. Basiletti 2 - 0 Oct. 22, 2026
W M. Barthel 2 - 1 Oct. 20, 2026
W K. Okamura 2 - 0 Oct. 11, 2026

K. Okamura

W R. Matsuda 2 - 0 Nov. 13, 2026
W Y. Wang 2 - 0 Nov. 12, 2026
W E. Koike 2 - 0 Nov. 11, 2026
L J. Vandromme 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026
W M. Kobori 2 - 1 Nov. 1, 2026

All Oct. 11, 2026 results & picks →

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