R. Sramkova vs C. Liu — Prediction & Analysis

Suzhou · Suzhou - 1/8-finals · Oct. 7, 2026 · 02:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing Under 21.5 games at 1.93 in R. Sramkova vs C. Liu (Suzhou on 2026-10-07). Result: LOST.

Surface hard Odds R. Sramkova 2.44 · C. Liu 1.49

Bot bet

Under 21.5 games @ 1.93 · 1.75u
Result: LOST
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: R. Sramkova · C. Liu · head-to-head record · Suzhou

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method R. Sramkova C. Liu
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
32.5% 67.5%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
36.4% 63.6%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
61.1% 38.9%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
43.3% 56.7%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
37.9% 62.1%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
R. Sramkova hard1685 97–82179
C. Liu hard1817 117–81198

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 3, 2026.

Head to head

R. Sramkova leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Oct. 7, 2026SuzhouhardR. Sramkova2 - 0

Recent form

R. Sramkova

L M. Uchijima 2 - 0 Nov. 3, 2026
L H. Klugman 0 - 2 Oct. 23, 2026
W N. Basiletti 2 - 0 Oct. 22, 2026
W M. Barthel 2 - 1 Oct. 20, 2026
W K. Okamura 2 - 0 Oct. 11, 2026

C. Liu

W A. Eala 2 - 0 Nov. 8, 2026
W A. Shubladze 0 - 2 Nov. 7, 2026
W Z. Sonmez 0 - 2 Nov. 6, 2026
W K. Boulter 2 - 0 Nov. 4, 2026
W T. Prozorova 2 - 0 Nov. 2, 2026

All Oct. 7, 2026 results & picks →

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