TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Muller (moneyline) at 2.67 in R. Sakamoto vs A. Muller (US Open on 2026-08-26). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Sakamoto | A. Muller |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.3% | 46.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
55.0% | 45.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
69.0% | 31.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.3% | 38.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
65.6% | 34.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sakamoto | hard | 1765 | 99–64 | 163 |
| A. Muller | hard | 1654 | 97–94 | 191 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 13, 2026.
R. Sakamoto leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 26, 2026 | US Open | hard | R. Sakamoto | 2 - 0 |
| May 13, 2026 | Bordeaux | clay | R. Sakamoto | 2 - 1 |
| March 19, 2025 | Miami | hard | A. Muller | 2 - 0 |
All Aug. 26, 2026 results & picks →