TennisEdge's AI bot is backing A. Muller (moneyline) at 2.67 in R. Sakamoto vs A. Muller (US Open on 2026-08-26). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Sakamoto | A. Muller |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
53.3% | 46.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
55.0% | 45.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
69.0% | 31.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.3% | 38.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
65.6% | 34.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sakamoto | hard | 1714 | 88–60 | 148 |
| A. Muller | hard | 1646 | 90–88 | 178 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 8, 2026.
R. Sakamoto leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 26, 2026 | US Open | hard | R. Sakamoto | 2 - 0 |
| May 13, 2026 | Bordeaux | clay | R. Sakamoto | 2 - 1 |
| March 19, 2025 | Miami | hard | A. Muller | 2 - 0 |
| L | S. Nam Ji | 0 - 2 | Sept. 8, 2026 |
| L | F. Tiafoe | 0 - 3 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| W | A. Vukic | 2 - 3 | Aug. 31, 2026 |
| W | K. Nishikori | 0 - 2 | Aug. 28, 2026 |
| W | A. Muller | 2 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| L | F. Balshaw | 2 - 0 | Sept. 3, 2026 |
| W | Z. Sesko | 0 - 2 | Sept. 2, 2026 |
| L | R. Sakamoto | 2 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | L. Djere | 0 - 2 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | C. Wong | 0 - 2 | Aug. 19, 2026 |
All Aug. 26, 2026 results & picks →