AI match preview for R. Noguchi vs Y. H. Hsu (Matsuyama on 2026-11-14): models, form and the market read. No bot verdict is published for this match yet. Y. H. Hsu is the market favourite at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Noguchi | Y. H. Hsu |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.7% | 50.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.0% | 53.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
44.6% | 55.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
47.1% | 52.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
49.0% | 51.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Noguchi | hard | 1606 | 184–131 | 315 |
| Y. H. Hsu | hard | 1626 | 229–125 | 354 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Nov. 13, 2026.
R. Noguchi leads 2–1 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| April 29, 2026 | Jiujiang (China) - Qualification | hard | R. Noguchi | 2 - 0 |
| May 15, 2024 | Taipei Challenger Men | hard | Y. H. Hsu | 2 - 0 |
| Nov. 14, 2023 | Kobe Challenger Men | hard | R. Noguchi | 2 - 0 |
| W | T. Daniel | 2 - 0 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | Y. Zhou | 2 - 0 | Nov. 12, 2026 |
| W | D. Michalski | 2 - 0 | Nov. 10, 2026 |
| L | A. Kachmazov | 2 - 0 | Oct. 27, 2026 |
| L | K. Samrej | 2 - 1 | Oct. 20, 2026 |
| W | J. D. Hara Friend | 2 - 1 | Nov. 13, 2026 |
| W | N. McDonald | 2 - 0 | Nov. 11, 2026 |
| W | K. Smith | 0 - 2 | Nov. 9, 2026 |
| L | O. Jasika | 1 - 2 | Nov. 3, 2026 |
| L | Y. Demin | 2 - 1 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
All Nov. 14, 2026 results & picks →