TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in R. Montgomery vs M. Inglis (French Open on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with R. Montgomery favoured at 1.22.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Montgomery | M. Inglis |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
74.2% | 25.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
85.7% | 14.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
80.0% | 20.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
76.6% | 23.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Montgomery | hard | 1608 | 70–47 | 117 |
| M. Inglis | hard | 1671 | 154–102 | 256 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 17, 2025.
R. Montgomery leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | French Open | clay | R. Montgomery | 2 - 0 |
| L | J. Paolini | 2 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 1 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| W | E. Kalieva | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | C. Dolehide | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| W | B. Krejcikova | Walk Over | June 14, 2026 |
| L | T. Preston | 0 - 2 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | M. Hontama | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | M. Uchijima | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | S. Costoulas | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | G. Minnen | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
All May 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used