TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in N. Fatic vs L. Mikrut (French Open on 2026-05-19) — the market is efficient, with L. Mikrut favoured at 1.80.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | N. Fatic | L. Mikrut |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
34.2% | 65.8% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
27.1% | 72.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
40.8% | 59.2% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
34.0% | 66.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
48.6% | 51.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated May 20, 2026.
Level at 1–1 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2026 | French Open | clay | N. Fatic | 2 - 0 |
| April 19, 2025 | M15 Dubrovnik | clay | L. Mikrut | 2 - 0 |
| L | K. Jacquet | 1 - 2 | May 20, 2026 |
| W | L. Mikrut | 2 - 0 | May 19, 2026 |
| L | E. Moller | 1 - 2 | May 13, 2026 |
| W | D. Kuzmanov | 2 - 0 | May 11, 2026 |
| W | J. Sheehy | 2 - 0 | May 10, 2026 |
| L | S. Travaglia | 2 - 0 | June 22, 2026 |
| W | D. Dedura | 0 - 2 | June 6, 2026 |
| W | M. Moeller | 2 - 1 | June 5, 2026 |
| W | J. Choinski | 0 - 2 | June 4, 2026 |
| W | A. Marti Pujolras | 2 - 0 | June 2, 2026 |
All May 19, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used