TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in R. Masarova vs F. Curmi (Contrexeville on 2026-07-08) — the market is efficient, with R. Masarova favoured at 1.44.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Masarova | F. Curmi |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
60.9% | 39.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
74.7% | 25.3% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
49.2% | 50.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
60.9% | 39.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
65.6% | 34.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Masarova | hard | 1641 | 85–62 | 147 |
| F. Curmi | clay | 1643 | 67–51 | 118 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 14, 2026.
F. Curmi leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 8, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | F. Curmi | 2 - 0 |
| L | V. Ryser | 1 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | C. Monnet | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2026 |
| L | F. Curmi | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | J. Grabher | 1 - 2 | July 6, 2026 |
| L | J. Teichmann | 0 - 2 | June 23, 2026 |
| L | B. Cengiz | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Lene | 1 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | C. Gallardo Guevara | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | F. Jorge | 2 - 0 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Trevisan | 0 - 2 | July 23, 2026 |
All July 8, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used