TennisEdge's AI bot is backing R. Marino (moneyline) at 2.94 in R. Marino vs A. Charaeva (Cincinnati on 2026-08-11). Result: LOST.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Marino | A. Charaeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
48.4% | 51.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
38.3% | 61.7% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
53.3% | 46.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
42.3% | 57.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
32.4% | 67.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Marino | hard | 1590 | 146–89 | 235 |
| A. Charaeva | hard | 1723 | 88–62 | 150 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 26, 2026.
A. Charaeva leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 11, 2026 | Cincinnati | hard | A. Charaeva | 2 - 0 |
| L | E. Pridankina | 2 - 0 | Aug. 26, 2026 |
| W | F. Ferro | 2 - 0 | Aug. 24, 2026 |
| L | A. Charaeva | 0 - 2 | Aug. 11, 2026 |
| L | Z. Sonmez | 0 - 2 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| L | K. Cross | 2 - 1 | July 17, 2026 |
| L | A. Ruzic | 2 - 0 | Nov. 4, 2026 |
| W | N. Noha Akugue | 0 - 2 | Nov. 1, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 1 - 2 | Oct. 31, 2026 |
| W | M. Bassols | 0 - 2 | Oct. 30, 2026 |
| W | G. Knutson | 1 - 2 | Oct. 28, 2026 |
All Aug. 11, 2026 results & picks →