TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in R. Jodar vs F. Gill (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29) — the market is efficient, with R. Jodar favoured at 1.20.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Jodar | F. Gill |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
82.3% | 17.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
67.7% | 32.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
82.3% | 17.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
78.9% | 21.1% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
R. Jodar leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 29, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | R. Jodar | 3 - 0 |
| L | T. Fritz | 2 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Tabilo | 2 - 1 | Aug. 2, 2026 |
| W | L. Musetti | 2 - 1 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | K. Nishikori | 2 - 0 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | A. Fils | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used