TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in R. Bertola vs J. Rodionov (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with J. Rodionov favoured at 1.50.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. Bertola | J. Rodionov |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
51.3% | 48.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
28.0% | 72.0% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
64.9% | 35.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
51.3% | 48.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
37.5% | 62.5% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bertola | clay | 1579 | 137–99 | 236 |
| J. Rodionov | hard | 1651 | 134–95 | 229 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 5, 2026.
R. Bertola leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | R. Bertola | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Ilagan | 2 - 0 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 2 - 0 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | S. Johnson | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| L | A. Mannarino | 2 - 0 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | M. Basing | 3 - 2 | June 25, 2026 |
| L | J. Mackenzie | 2 - 0 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | N. McDonald | 0 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | P. Boscardin Dias | 0 - 2 | July 27, 2026 |
| L | T. M. Etcheverry | 2 - 0 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | J. J. Schwaerzler | 0 - 2 | July 20, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used