TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in R. A. Burruchaga vs A. Fery (Eastbourne on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with A. Fery favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | R. A. Burruchaga | A. Fery |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
30.6% | 69.4% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
20.9% | 79.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
30.6% | 69.4% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
28.1% | 71.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. A. Burruchaga | clay | 1802 | 200–127 | 327 |
| A. Fery | hard | 1722 | 118–49 | 167 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 24, 2026.
A. Fery leads 2–0 over 2 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Eastbourne | grass | A. Fery | 2 - 1 |
| March 16, 2026 | Miami | hard | A. Fery | 2 - 1 |
| L | A. Blockx | 1 - 2 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | N. Borges | 1 - 2 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | S. Wawrinka | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | D. Merida Aguilar | 0 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | C. Ugo Carabelli | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
| L | A. Zverev | 0 - 3 | July 10, 2026 |
| W | F. Cobolli | 0 - 3 | July 8, 2026 |
| W | G. Dimitrov | 2 - 3 | July 6, 2026 |
| W | Z. Bergs | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| W | O. Virtanen | 3 - 1 | July 2, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used