P. Udvardy vs M. Joint — Prediction & Analysis

Monterrey · WTA Monterrey - 1/16-finals · Aug. 25, 2026 · 23:00 UTC

TennisEdge's AI bot is backing P. Udvardy +4.5 (game handicap) at 1.86 in P. Udvardy vs M. Joint (Monterrey on 2026-08-25). Result: WON.

Surface hard Odds P. Udvardy 4.00 · M. Joint 1.25

Bot bet

P. Udvardy +4.5 (game handicap) @ 1.86 · 0.75u
Result: WON
Read the reasoning on the bet sheet →
Profiles: P. Udvardy · M. Joint · head-to-head record · Monterrey

Model probabilities

Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.

Method P. Udvardy M. Joint
Elo
ratings-based, surface-weighted
43.7% 56.3%
Machine learning
29-feature gradient-boosted model
50.0% 50.0%
Serve / return
point-by-point simulation
47.5% 52.5%
Blend
what the bot actually prices off
40.2% 59.8%
Market implied
de-vigged from the opening odds
23.8% 76.2%

We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?

Elo ratings

PlayerSurfaceEloRecordMatches
P. Udvardy hard1612 48–59107
M. Joint hard1726 88–57145

Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Sept. 13, 2026.

Head to head

P. Udvardy leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.

DateEventSurfaceWinnerScore
Aug. 25, 2026MonterreyhardP. Udvardy2 - 0

Recent form

P. Udvardy

W L. Boisson 2 - 1 Sept. 13, 2026
L M. Sawangkaew 2 - 0 Aug. 31, 2026
L E. Mertens 1 - 2 Aug. 26, 2026
W M. Joint 2 - 0 Aug. 25, 2026
L D. Vidmanova 1 - 2 Aug. 23, 2026

M. Joint

L E. Svitolina 2 - 1 Sept. 3, 2026
W L. Samsonova 2 - 1 Aug. 31, 2026
L P. Udvardy 2 - 0 Aug. 25, 2026
W Y. Putintseva 2 - 1 Aug. 24, 2026
W J. Hinojosa Gomez 2 - 0 Aug. 22, 2026

All Aug. 25, 2026 results & picks →

31 ATP & WTA matches analysed today. See today's predictions →