TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Marcinko vs C. Burel (Contrexeville on 2026-07-07) — the market is efficient, with P. Marcinko favoured at 1.39.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Marcinko | C. Burel |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
66.1% | 33.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
67.1% | 32.9% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
65.9% | 34.1% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
66.1% | 33.9% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
66.6% | 33.4% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Marcinko | clay | 1727 | 89–46 | 135 |
| C. Burel | clay | 1638 | 64–50 | 114 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 17, 2026.
C. Burel leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 7, 2026 | Contrexeville | clay | C. Burel | 2 - 1 |
| L | T. Zidansek | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | E. Avanesyan | 0 - 2 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | N. Podoroska | 1 - 2 | July 13, 2026 |
| L | C. Burel | 1 - 2 | July 7, 2026 |
| L | S. Kenin | 0 - 2 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Ibragimova | 2 - 1 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | F. Urgesi | Walk Over | July 22, 2026 |
| W | A. Abbagnato | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | O. Oliynykova | 2 - 0 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | E. Jacquemot | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
All July 7, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used