TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Llamas Ruiz vs T. Boyer (Wimbledon on 2026-06-25) — the market is efficient, with P. Llamas Ruiz favoured at 1.69.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Llamas Ruiz | T. Boyer |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
69.1% | 30.9% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
60.0% | 40.0% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
61.9% | 38.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
56.4% | 43.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Llamas Ruiz | clay | 1792 | 152–76 | 228 |
| T. Boyer | clay | 1657 | 61–48 | 109 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 5, 2026.
T. Boyer leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | T. Boyer | 3 - 1 |
| L | M. Giron | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | K. Rice | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Lajal | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | B. Kuzuhara | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | Z. Svajda | 0 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | F. Cerundolo | 0 - 1 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | G. Diallo | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | B. Tomic | Walk Over | July 27, 2026 |
| W | L. Claverie | 2 - 0 | July 26, 2026 |
| L | J. Fearnley | 2 - 0 | July 23, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used