TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Llamas Ruiz vs P. Martin Tiffon (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with P. Llamas Ruiz favoured at 1.66.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Llamas Ruiz | P. Martin Tiffon |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
55.7% | 44.3% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
58.3% | 41.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
55.7% | 44.3% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
57.4% | 42.6% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Llamas Ruiz | clay | 1792 | 152–76 | 228 |
| P. Martin Tiffon | clay | 1603 | 204–130 | 334 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 5, 2026.
P. Martin Tiffon leads 3–1 over 4 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 24, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | P. Llamas Ruiz | 2 - 0 |
| Feb. 5, 2026 | Tenerife | hard | P. Martin Tiffon | 2 - 1 |
| May 29, 2022 | M25 Mataro | clay | P. Martin Tiffon | 2 - 1 |
| Aug. 26, 2021 | M25 Santander | clay | P. Martin Tiffon | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Giron | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | K. Rice | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Lajal | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | B. Kuzuhara | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | Z. Svajda | 0 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | M. Topo | 1 - 0 | July 11, 2026 |
| L | P. Llamas Ruiz | 2 - 0 | June 24, 2026 |
| W | G. A. Bailly | 0 - 2 | June 22, 2026 |
| L | C. H. Tseng | 2 - 1 | May 29, 2026 |
| W | J. J. Schwaerzler | 2 - 1 | May 28, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used