TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Llamas Ruiz vs D. Added (Wimbledon on 2026-06-22) — the market is efficient, with P. Llamas Ruiz favoured at 1.25.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Llamas Ruiz | D. Added |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
20.9% | 79.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
57.6% | 42.4% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
51.0% | 49.0% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
75.0% | 25.0% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Llamas Ruiz | clay | 1792 | 152–76 | 228 |
| D. Added | hard | 1547 | 189–123 | 312 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated June 5, 2026.
P. Llamas Ruiz leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 22, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | P. Llamas Ruiz | 2 - 0 |
| L | M. Giron | 2 - 1 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | K. Rice | 2 - 1 | July 29, 2026 |
| L | M. Lajal | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | B. Kuzuhara | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | Z. Svajda | 0 - 3 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | K. Miyoshi | 1 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | L. Poullain | 2 - 1 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | F. Bax | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | I. Ivashka | 1 - 2 | July 17, 2026 |
| W | A. Ghibaudo | 2 - 1 | July 16, 2026 |
All June 22, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used