TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Kypson vs M. McDonald (Wimbledon on 2026-06-29) — the market is efficient, with M. McDonald favoured at 1.33.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Kypson | M. McDonald |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
25.3% | 74.7% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
47.3% | 52.7% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
25.3% | 74.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
28.1% | 71.9% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Kypson | hard | 1706 | 118–74 | 192 |
| M. McDonald | hard | 1689 | 131–104 | 235 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated March 16, 2026.
P. Kypson leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | P. Kypson | 3 - 1 |
| L | T. Fritz | 3 - 0 | July 2, 2026 |
| W | M. McDonald | 3 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
| L | A. Vukic | 2 - 1 | May 6, 2026 |
| W | T. Droguet | 2 - 1 | May 5, 2026 |
| W | J. Pinnington Jones | 2 - 1 | May 4, 2026 |
| L | A. Michelsen | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | T. Svajda | 0 - 2 | July 26, 2026 |
| W | E. Butvilas | 2 - 1 | July 25, 2026 |
| L | A. Walton | 0 - 2 | July 8, 2026 |
| L | P. Kypson | 3 - 1 | June 30, 2026 |
All June 29, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used