TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Kudermetova vs A. Charaeva (Wimbledon on 2026-06-25) — the market is efficient, with P. Kudermetova favoured at 1.75.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Kudermetova | A. Charaeva |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
49.4% | 50.6% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
39.5% | 60.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
45.2% | 54.8% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
47.3% | 52.7% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
53.8% | 46.2% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
| Player | Surface | Elo | Record | Matches |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Kudermetova | hard | 1665 | 127–77 | 204 |
| A. Charaeva | hard | 1610 | 75–54 | 129 |
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated Aug. 3, 2026.
P. Kudermetova leads 3–0 over 3 meetings. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 25, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | P. Kudermetova | 2 - 1 |
| June 7, 2026 | London | grass | P. Kudermetova | 2 - 1 |
| March 4, 2026 | Antalya 2 | clay | P. Kudermetova | 2 - 0 |
| L | A. Korneeva | 1 - 0 | Aug. 3, 2026 |
| W | A. Alexander | 2 - 0 | Aug. 1, 2026 |
| L | E. Svitolina | 0 - 2 | July 31, 2026 |
| W | C. Bucsa | 1 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| W | V. Lepchenko | 2 - 1 | July 26, 2026 |
| L | A. Bondar | 2 - 0 | July 24, 2026 |
| W | S. Kraus | 2 - 1 | July 22, 2026 |
| W | S. Sorribes Tormo | 1 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | Y. Putintseva | 2 - 0 | July 15, 2026 |
| W | V. Jimenez Kasintseva | 2 - 0 | July 13, 2026 |
All June 25, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used