TennisEdge's AI model finds no betting value in P. Hon vs N. Hibino (Wimbledon on 2026-06-24) — the market is efficient, with P. Hon favoured at 1.73.
Independent estimates of who wins, each from a different method. The blend is what the bot prices against the market.
| Method | P. Hon | N. Hibino |
|---|---|---|
| Elo ratings-based, surface-weighted |
52.9% | 47.1% |
| Machine learning 29-feature gradient-boosted model |
50.5% | 49.5% |
| Serve / return point-by-point simulation |
57.7% | 42.3% |
| Blend what the bot actually prices off |
53.9% | 46.1% |
| Market implied de-vigged from the opening odds |
54.2% | 45.8% |
We publish how well these score against the closing market, including where they lose: how accurate are tennis predictions?
Our own ratings, computed from match results since 2018. Players with fewer than 5 rated matches are omitted rather than shown at a provisional starting value. Last updated July 30, 2026.
N. Hibino leads 1–0 over 1 meeting. Full record.
| Date | Event | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 23, 2026 | Wimbledon | grass | N. Hibino | 2 - 0 |
| L | T. Preston | 0 - 2 | July 30, 2026 |
| W | E. Schoppe | 2 - 0 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | T. Valentova | 0 - 2 | July 21, 2026 |
| L | C. Y. Lee | 0 - 2 | July 19, 2026 |
| W | K. K. Thandi | 1 - 0 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | M. Sawangkaew | 1 - 2 | July 29, 2026 |
| W | T. Chavez | 0 - 2 | July 28, 2026 |
| L | S. Costoulas | 2 - 1 | July 18, 2026 |
| L | C. Tauson | 2 - 0 | July 14, 2026 |
| W | M. Tona | 2 - 0 | July 12, 2026 |
All June 24, 2026 results & picks →
Math-only prediction: no LLM calls used